Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1.528122 1.756161 2.006816 2.302821 2.642935 3.021631 3.475493
2025-06-15 1.250094 1.558982 1.927058 2.398232 2.985887 3.695411 4.618423
2025-06-22 1.021623 1.366861 1.807856 2.413028 3.223180 4.272262 5.737430
2025-06-29 0.836777 1.191151 1.672424 2.374723 3.375649 4.754606 6.805662
2025-07-06 0.676055 1.017092 1.506283 2.260445 3.397205 5.052612 7.657915
2025-07-13 0.605943 0.958684 1.490494 2.352468 3.719867 5.814585 9.286034
2025-07-20 0.552127 0.914758 1.486986 2.458074 4.072545 6.663494 11.166205
2025-07-27 0.502637 0.868967 1.471887 2.539446 4.393000 7.498467 13.138216
2025-08-03 0.452394 0.813653 1.431952 2.570864 4.629812 8.220510 15.014765
2025-08-10 0.394202 0.735618 1.341663 2.499948 4.674417 8.611337 16.352371
2025-08-17 0.337394 0.651756 1.229204 2.371727 4.593973 8.761579 17.257738
2025-08-24 0.301803 0.602558 1.173350 2.340694 4.689436 9.245090 18.859168
2025-08-31 0.266981 0.551475 1.109895 2.291606 4.753872 9.698728 20.514125
2025-09-07 0.254597 0.543811 1.130641 2.415003 5.185093 10.942406 23.987732
2025-09-14 0.234316 0.516836 1.108626 2.446417 5.428996 11.835902 26.855233
2025-09-21 0.211119 0.480256 1.061499 2.416912 5.536608 12.454069 29.209699
2025-09-28 0.184410 0.432056 0.982744 2.305675 5.444958 12.620695 30.556053
2025-10-05 0.176127 0.424851 0.994141 2.402590 5.847248 13.961512 34.883121
2025-10-12 0.169243 0.419943 1.010049 2.512280 6.295579 15.471806 39.857501
2025-10-19 0.161190 0.411035 1.015265 2.596534 6.693492 16.915679 44.888422
2025-10-26 0.150839 0.394912 1.000802 2.629285 6.965820 18.085740 49.389492
2025-11-02 0.136007 0.365188 0.948538 2.557088 6.954725 18.531324 52.019985
2025-11-09 0.119983 0.330081 0.877890 2.426096 6.767294 18.487875 53.294047